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Cap-and-invest: A US programme to ration energy and then tax the rations

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Several US states have implemented or are developing Cap-and-Invest programmes, including California, Washington State and New York State.   

Climate change catastrophists will say that these programmes are to save the planet from global warming.  But as with all things related to the climate change agenda, it has nothing to do with climate change and everything to do with money and control.

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Carbon taxes and cap-and-invest systems have much in common.  Both are market-based policies to make “carbon emitters” pay for their “emissions.”

Using climate change jargon: Cap-and-Invest is a tool designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by setting a declining cap on total emissions from covered sources, such as large industrial facilities, fuel distributors and utilities.  Each covered entity must hold an allowance for every tonne of emissions it produces, with the total number of allowances equal to the annual emissions cap, which decreases over time to achieve long-term climate goals.  This system creates a financial incentive for businesses to reduce emissions, as they can either cut their own pollution or purchase allowances from others, with the price of allowances determined by supply and demand.

In the following, David Wojick explains in simple terms what this nefarious programme is all about, using New York as the example.

New York’s Climate Law Will Ration Fossil Fuels And Tax The Rations

By David Wojick, as published by CFACT on 3 December 2025

New York Governor Hochul says the emission reduction regulations required by the Climate Act are infeasible and ruinously expensive. She has yet to explain this, so here is my simple assessment.

The regulatory programme has two very different mechanisms. First, they ration your fossil fuels. Then, they tax you heavily on the ration you get. The rationing is infeasible; the tax is ruinous.

The programme is called “cap-and-invest,” which sounds good. Note the missing word: “tax.” You need the tax to get the money to “invest.” An honest name is “cap, tax, and spend.”

The cap is the amount of each type of fossil fuel that can be sold to consumers during a given period. Permissions to sell this amount are called allowances, and they cost money.

Here is how the Cap-and-Invest website explains it. (There is almost no other information.)

The cap is the ration and the allowances are the ration tickets that have to be bought. Note that for heating and transportation fuels, the distributor, not the consumer, buys the allowances. Of course, these costs will be passed on to the consumers. We are mostly talking about gasoline and diesel for transportation, fuel oil for heating and gas for heating and cooking.

Let’s just look at the cap. These fuels are all essential for living, which makes rationing a very bad plan. The rationing cap has to quickly come down and a lot under the Climate Act. Statewide emissions have to come down by a whopping 30% by 2030, just four years away.

Fuel use may have to come down even more because other emissions cannot be reduced that much. New York has provided no information about this looming threat, and there is no time to implement new technologies.

Rationing by definition creates shortages, because it means people get less than they would otherwise use. Let’s take home heating fuel oil as a simple case. About 20% of New York homes are heated with fuel oil.

Say you live in one of these homes. Your fuel oil supplier has bought allowances for the coming year and you get a share of that oil. But thanks to the cap, it is less than you burned keeping warm last year. How low will you have to turn your thermostat in order to get through the year on that much oil?

There is no way to know because it depends on how cold it gets. If it is cold, you might run out of your allowed share in mid-December. Then what? The programme is silent on this life-threatening question.

Moreover, if it is a cold year, then most people might run out of heating oil in winter. Heck of a Christmas that would be.

The same is true for gas heat but at a much larger scale, since most New York buildings are heated with natural gas. You cannot just suddenly use a lot less gas with a fixed amount allowed. It is a prescription for running out of heat in winter. This fiasco also applies in more complex ways to cars, trucks and electricity.

Clearly, capping fuel use is infeasible. Energy is fundamental to our way of life.

About the Author

David Wojick, PhD, is an independent policy analyst and senior advisor to CFACT. As a civil engineer with a PhD in logic and analytic philosophy of science, he brings a unique perspective to complex policy issues. He specialises in science and technology-intensive issues, especially in energy and environment.

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Rhoda Wilson
While previously it was a hobby culminating in writing articles for Wikipedia (until things made a drastic and undeniable turn in 2020) and a few books for private consumption, since March 2020 I have become a full-time researcher and writer in reaction to the global takeover that came into full view with the introduction of covid-19. For most of my life, I have tried to raise awareness that a small group of people planned to take over the world for their own benefit. There was no way I was going to sit back quietly and simply let them do it once they made their final move.
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