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Analysis of Offical Government data finds Covid-19 Vaccination increases risk of Death due to all-causes in all Age-Groups

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The United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics “the UK’s largest independent producer of official statistics and its recognised national statistical institute” has quietly released substantial data on the COVID-19 vaccines.

Despite containing some of the most detailed breakdowns of the relationship between the COVID-19 vaccines and mortality available, it has gone almost unnoticed.

I will try to present this data here using easily understood and transparent methods. With that said, the official UK Government data indicates substantially increased mortality rates in many individuals vaccinated with the COVID-19 vaccines, over the unvaccinated.


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By ‘Excess Burden’

All-Cause Mortality by Vaccination Status: Analysis of UK Office for National Statistics Data

Table 1 of the dataset, “Monthly age-standardised mortality rates by vaccination status for all deaths, deaths involving COVID-19 and deaths not involving COVID-19, per 100,000 person-years, England; deaths occurring between 1 January 2021 and 31 January 2022”, looks as follows.

Click to enlarge

The significant column is “age-standardised mortality rate / 100,000 person years”. It is age standardized to minimize statistical problems with different amounts of vaccine uptake in different age brackets (more on that shortly). The number was calculated using person years, so it can be understood as the expected number of deaths yearly per 100,000 population within the appropriate category.

There is data in this document for all-cause, COVID-19, and non-COVID-19 deaths. Looking at all cause deaths shows if vaccines are having a net positive or negative effect, so that is what we will do. As an extreme example if per 100,000 people vaccines killed 999 from adverse events, but saved 1000 from COVID-19, the vaccinated group still would have a lower all cause mortality rate than the unvaccinated.

If the January rate charted above held for a year, we would expect:

  • 2502.9 deaths over the year per 100,000 unvaccinated
  • 1,330.1 deaths over the year per 100,000 with 1 dose less than 21 days ago
  • 1,718.5 deaths over the year per 100,000 with 1 dose at least 21 days ago
  • 265.6 deaths over the year per 100,000 with 2 doses less than 21 days ago
  • 166.1 deaths over the year per 100,000 with 2 doses at least 21 days ago

This is the effect nearly everyone expects the COVID-19 vaccines to have. The data shows an over 90% reduction in mortality rate for those who took 2 doses at least 21 days ago. Keep in mind these are all-cause deaths. At the time there was a substantial likelihood COVID-19 would have been the expected cause of death, for any unvaccinated deaths.

That was the earliest data in the set, January 2021. Now look at the chart of latest data in the set, January 2022.

The all-cause mortality rate is substantially higher in those with 1 or 2 doses than those unvaccinated. That does not seem like it could possibly be correct. Was it just some type of year end accounting artifact?

Lets plot the entire dataset as a timeline.

As we know in January 2021, those vaccinated with 1 and 2 doses have lower mortality rates than unvaccinated. But then in May 2021 those vaccinated with 1 dose ‘at least 21 days ago’, start to have a higher mortality rate than unvaccinated. In October 2021, those vaccinated with 2 doses ‘at least 6 months ago’ start to have a higher mortality rate than unvaccinated. They are followed in November 2021 by those with 2 doses ‘at least 21 days ago’. In addition, the mortality rate of those vaccinated with 3 doses is consistently getting closer to that of unvaccinated. All these trends continue through the end of the dataset in January 2022.

This clearly isn’t an accounting issue, so the obvious variable to look at is age. Even though the Office for National Statistics says its data is age standardized, the data must not account for age in a manner that shows what is really happening.

Table 2 has exactly what you need to look at this more closely. The same mortality by vaccination status data is broken down into age bands of 18-39, 40-49, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79, 80-89, and 90+. I charted it the same way as above, but I removed the ‘less than 21 days ago’ categories as they add a lot of noise and people will be in those groups only a short time compared to the ‘at least 21 days ago’ categories. Additionally the Office for National Statistics combined the ‘between 21 days and 6 months ago’ category with ‘at least 6 months ago’.

This data shows a few interesting things. First that the effect seems to be real and consistent. Second that the effect occurs progressively later as age groups get younger. Third that in ages 18-39 the vaccine seems to have had a negative effect from the start.

I would like to display all the above data in one chart, but the mortality rates are wildly different with 90,000 being the peak for 90+ while 120 is the peak for 18-39. For this reasons the data must be standardized first, which I do as ‘rate vs unvaccinated’.

For example, in January the 18-39 mortality rate of 120 for 1 dose vs 60 for unvaccinated, could be displayed as the 1 dose rate being 2x the unvaccinated rate. For 90+ the 30,000 rate for 1 dose vs 60,000 rate for unvaccinated, could be displayed as the 1 dose rate being 0.5x the unvaccinated rate. When the data is organized in that way and combined, you get the following chart.

This data is all very alarming. A poorly functioning vaccine should still have at least a small positive effect. A non-functioning vaccine should have no effect. Yet we see a negative effect in all age groups for both 1 or 2 doses taken ‘at least 21 days ago’, and it is most cases the negative effect is quite large. The fact that the pattern is consistent and predictable, meaning it moves smoothly from month to month and age bracket to age bracket, gives even more credibility to the pattern.

The data indicates a health concern that may be larger than COVID-19 itself, and it deserves immediate further analysis in a transparent and public way.

Please help get this in front of the right people.

Source Data – https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland

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Peter
Peter
2 months ago

Should you not add the “less than 21 days” to the “at least 21 days”? Once you are vaccinated, you are vaccinated. And I believe many people that tragically die from the vaccine, die within the first 21 days of taking the vaccine

P T
P T
Reply to  Peter
2 months ago

They have graphed the “Age-standardised mortality rate / 100,000 person-years”, for each age group. I’m not sure you can add these rates together for <21 days and >21 days.

Eg, Jan 2021 – in the 60-69 age group, there was 188 deaths <21 days, and 20 deaths > 21 days.

But the Aged standardised mortality rate (per 100,000 person-years) was 1341 and 1112 for the <21 days and >21 days. It doesn’t appear you can add the mortality rates together.

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Steve
Reply to  Peter
2 months ago

I agree, that’s my experience. A relative had a shot and a serious negative response within 24 hours. Unable to walk, subsequently found a brain bleed and a heart rhythm issue. A brain bleed is still ongoing after almost a year. I know of others with a serious reaction to these jabs. Surely if it was quite a rare reaction to the jab, I wouldn’t know of anyone.

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Paul Watson
Paul Watson
2 months ago

I will file this under “something you will never read on MSM”
Sheep have swapped masks for Ukranian flags..

P T
P T
2 months ago

These numbers remind me of a quote attributed to Jacques Attali, former adviser to French President Mitterrand. The quote was published in a book in 1981.

“In the future it will be about finding a way to reduce the population….

“…We will find something or cause it, a pandemic that targets certain people, a real economic crisis or not, a virus that will affect the old or the big, it doesn’t matter, the weak will succumb to it, the fearful and the stupid will believe it and ask to be treated”

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/tyranny/the-stupid-will-believe-it-and-ask-to-be-treated-pandemic-to-depopulate-1981/

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Freeman2
Freeman2
2 months ago

When a majority of people is vaxxed, it is expected the vaxxed also account for the majority of (all cause) deaths.

The data needs to be normalized/standardized with the respective number of un-vaxxed & vaxxed, at any time considered in the graphic! not per 100.000 people. Otherwise it’s misleading.

David A
David A
Reply to  Freeman2
2 months ago

Are you certain it is not per 100,000 people in THAT category, in which case it is perfectly accurate?

Freeman2
Freeman2
Reply to  David A
2 months ago

“it is not per 100,000 people in THAT category” … I see no reason to assume otherwise from the article. Do you?

Brianthedawg
Brianthedawg
Reply to  Freeman2
2 months ago

Yes, reading through the steps all are based on rates, not raw totals

Freeman2
Freeman2
Reply to  Brianthedawg
2 months ago

Sorry, you didn’t understand correctly what the discussion was about.

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2 months ago

[…] Analysis of Offical Government data finds Covid-19 Vaccination increases risk of Death due to all-ca… […]

Kelly
Kelly
2 months ago

Various doctors say families of loved ones hospitalized with covid19 are resorting to desperate measures when approved treatments(slow death protocols) have failed. When it’s not too late, some have seen tremendous success by sneaking Ivermectin medication prohibited by hospitals to patients. It is really sad situation what has our country become.
You can get your ivm by visiting https://www.ivmcures.com

Last edited 2 months ago by Kelly
Bacon
Bacon
2 months ago

Another great article Expose!

Please show a cumulative impact of single line across all ages and injections.

Contrast this to a single line across all injections in a specific age group.

ando49
ando49
2 months ago

This indicates a delayed reaction to the vaccines, so as the time post vaccine reaches 6 months, or even less for the young, there is Ian increased likelihood of death if you are vaccinated. It would be interesting to see the figures for February and March 2022, as I would expect the negative effect from boosters to manifest.
Imagine if we could translate these higher death rates among the vaccinated into hospital occupation times, as most people will be hospitalised when dying. It would show occupation rates higher among the vaccinated. Consider also, that for everyone that dies there were probably 4, or 5 who didn’t, but they still occupied a bed.

ando49
ando49
2 months ago

I recently read a post on The Expose that showed the number of unvaccinated is higher than the public was led to believe. True figures showed about 20 million Brits were unvaccinated. Are accurate vaccination rates used in this UK analysis?

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[…] Analysis of Offical Government data finds Covid-19 Vaccination increases risk of Death due to all-ca… The United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics “the UK’s largest independent producer of official statistics and its recognised national statistical institute” has quietly released substantial data on the COVID-19 vaccines. […]

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2 months ago

[…] April 20, 2022Analysis of Offical Government data finds Covid-19 Vaccination increases risk of Death due to all-ca… […]

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Brianthedawg
Brianthedawg
2 months ago

Good article.

One factor which is difficult to adjust for is that, probably, the unjabbed cohort will on average be fitter and healthier in the first place than the jabbed cohort.

Having confidence in my own health and fitness was one of the many reasons why I was in no way inclined to roll my sleeve up for an experimental mrna shot

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