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Experts warned NATO expansion would lead to War; but nobody listened

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Russia’s offensive in Ukraine has provoked serious backlash around the world, particularly in the Western world – an understandable reaction against a war of aggression in violation of international law. However, it’s also true that this outcome had been predicted by the world’s foremost foreign-policy experts for decades.


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By Bradley Blankenship – an American journalist, columnist and political commentator.
Disclaimer:The views and opinions expressed in this article are entirely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of The Expose.

Specifically, experts have consistently warned that NATO’s eastward expansion would provoke conflict with Russia. So, this begs the question, how did we get here if so many people warned about it? Before getting into the answer, here are some examples of those warnings.

For starters, the top American Russia scholar George Kennan, the man who laid the foundation for US Cold War foreign-policy strategy, said NATO’s expansion into Central Europe in the 1990s was “the most fateful error of American policy in the entire post-Cold War era.” He warned that expanding NATO would damage the US-Russia relationship so deeply that Russia would never become a partner and would remain an enemy.

The US Ambassador to the Soviet Union from 1987 to 1991 penned an essay nine days before the invasion, answering the question of whether the brewing crisis was, at that point, avoidable. “In short, yes,” he explained. On whether it was predictable, “Absolutely. NATO expansion was the most profound strategic blunder made since the end of the Cold War.”

Leading international relations scholar John Mearsheimer gave an interview after the Russian invasion, explaining that the situation “started in April 2008, at the summit in Bucharest, where afterward NATO issued a statement that said Ukraine and Georgia would become part of [NATO].”

According to him, “The Russians made it unequivocally clear at the time that they viewed this as an existential threat, and they drew a line in the sand.” Mearsheimer discussed in the interview, as he has maintained for years on this issue, that the issue of Ukraine joining NATO is key to Russia’s core national security interests.

The famed Russian-studies scholar Stephen Cohen likewise warned in 2014, during that year’s conflict in Ukraine involving Russia, that “if we move NATO forces toward Russia’s borders … it’s obviously gonna militarize the situation [and] Russia will not back off. This is existential.”

Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, one of the most widely regarded American strategic thinkers of all time, said in a 2014 op-ed that “Ukraine should not join NATO.” This is because it would make Ukraine a theater in an East-West confrontation. He said that “to treat Ukraine as part of an East-West confrontation would scuttle for decades any prospect to bring Russia and the West – especially Russia and Europe – into a cooperative international system.”

There are many others, including former US Secretary of Defense William Perry, Russian-American journalist Vladimir Pozner Jnr., economist Jeffrey Sachs, former United Nations Under-Secretary-General Pino Arlacchi, former CIA director Bill Burns, former US Secretary of Defense Bob Gates and others listed by Arnaud Bertrand in a great Twitter thread on this topic.

With all of this out there, widely known and heavily discussed, we arrive back to that question: why? Well, it most likely has to do with controlling Europe and making sure that NATO itself doesn’t fall apart. In that sense, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has ensured this goal and then some.

Madrid will host a major NATO summit this June that will see the formation of the first NATO strategic concept document since 2010, which had been a major issue of contention both on the European continent and across the pond in Washington. It will be the alliance’s working strategic framework for at least the next decade and will clearly define its goals.

We had seen, prior to this, that Europe, particularly France, was pushing for a common European defense strategy – which, to be fair, was said to “complement NATO” but was so clearly in spite of it that Washington routinely resisted this stance. After actions by the US that rattled European leaders, particularly the AUKUS agreement, the administration of President Joe Biden made clear concessions that it probably didn’t enjoy.

This was clear from the read-out of a conversation between Biden and French President Emmanuel Macron in September 2021, which included the sentence, “The United States also recognizes the importance of a stronger and more capable European defense that contributes positively to transatlantic and global security and is complementary to NATO.”

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has seemingly rejuvenated NATO overnight and put Europe on high alert. This is evident in Germany’s foreign-policy pivot and the announcement that it will be increasing its military spending to over 2% of its GDP in direct response to the situation in Ukraine; Sweden and Finland having reportedly given consideration to joining NATO; and even Switzerland ending its neutral status and joining the EU’s sanctions on Russian assets.

The June summit in Madrid will undoubtedly elevate pro-NATO voices that would otherwise be regarded as extreme, discussion of more bifurcation of the international system and, no doubt, direct mentions of Russia – maybe even China – in the organization’s strategic concept document. All of this falls neatly in line with US foreign policy.   

At the same time, this all has the benefit of increasing dependency on America – especially in the case of natural gas, with Nord Stream 2 now scrapped and Russia being choked economically – and on military hardware, which the military-industrial complex is surely happy about.

None of this minimizes Russia’s role in the conflict. It invaded Ukraine and, whatever the justifications, committed a violation of international law. But strategic thinkers in the West clearly predicted this would happen and, because of that, we may only assume that it fits into the larger agenda described here.

With that in mind, it’s clear that anyone who really supports the Ukrainian people must be principally against NATO’s expansion. EU residents will also suffer the fallout, both economically and perhaps even in their basic physical safety. But let’s remember that, until Russia’s invasion, Europe – mainly Germany and France – was doing all it could to diffuse the situation in spite of Washington’s brinkmanship.

Disclaimer:The views and opinions expressed in this article are entirely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of The Expose.

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sam
sam
6 months ago

Some days ago a commenter on here absurdly claimed that russia was in some way controlling its reporters and that, even more absurdly, the “west” was not. Well, if you want to see at least some of how the “west” does things then read this: https://www.thetruthseeker.co.uk/?p=250613

michaelB
michaelB
Reply to  sam
6 months ago

That also shows exactly was fauci is up to in his bio labs. You and yours will be next.

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6 months ago

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6 months ago

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DonnaRogers
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6 months ago

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TerriParham
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6 months ago

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amy
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6 months ago

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TerriParham
TerriParham
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6 months ago

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Amy
Amy
Reply to  DorothyHammond
6 months ago

That also shows exactly was fauci is up to in his bio labs. You and yours will be next.

brin
brin
Reply to  sam
6 months ago

Snowden lives free in Russia. Assange is waiting to be suicided in the UK. British justice.strikes again.

Anglia
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6 months ago

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Rio
Rio
Reply to  sam
6 months ago

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GundelP
GundelP
6 months ago

“…With that in mind, it’s clear that anyone who really supports the Ukrainian people must be principally against NATO’s expansion. …”

Would be nice to read an article from someone who has real knowledge about Ukraine.
Ukraine means MANY nations who are not so friendly with each other, because of it news like they shot their own people are believable just like they welcomed Russians (of course, where mainly Russians live), etc. Ukraine fate is in this, divided, used as a puppet country by the globalists and to entertain us while they collapse the financial system in the background together with food and energy supply.
If you have sides in this you are a fool, sorry.

As Icke told at the beginning – he was right again and no, I didn’t fall for reptiles so far – the purpose of this faked war to form a strong alliance between China and Russia (happening), NONE of them is a democratic country, not a coincidence that wealthy Russians and Chinese live here or else but home. The west is already weakened, they will take it over and their system will be implemented unless the majority wake up and get rid of Mr Global.

Emily Mann
Emily Mann
Reply to  GundelP
6 months ago

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Last edited 6 months ago by Emily Mann
Lords Witnesses
Lords Witnesses
Reply to  GundelP
6 months ago

My God GrundelP. I almost agree with you!
Russia is not Democratic (Yeltsin rigger Putin’s first election after getting Approval from Clinton). Ukraine is a puppet of East and West. and China of course in not democratic.

The Maidan revolution in 2014 funded by the US, removed Victor Yanukovych. The Orange Revolution in 2004-2005 overturned Yanukoviches election (which was rigged by Putin) and replaced him with Yushchenko as President and Tymoshenko as Prime Minister. The Orange revolution was endorsed by the Ukrianian Supreme court (which found that Yanukovych HAD rigged the election and therefore declared it null and void). So all the US did was to fund a Revolution which removed a guy who should never have been permitted to stand. Mainsteam media spin it one way. Alternative media spin it the other. Few give the entire picture which is Western puppet removing a cheating Eastern puppet. These guys then put the candidate who loses in prison, like Putin does.

But it is all a puppet show designed to give a pretext to the globalists to ruin the banking system in the West by sanctions. Santions do not work on Putin. They do work to cause supply chain screw ups and economic disaster which will be used to bring in the Central Bank Digital Currencies of the Great Reset. They are a kind of financial lockdown, as useless at stopping Putin as Covid lockdowns were at ending the pandemic. But thereagain they are not there to stop Putin. They are there to start the reset.

sam
sam
Reply to  Lords Witnesses
6 months ago

“and China of course in not democratic”

LOFL. Neither is ‘britain’. If it were, then all the things that make it a puke hole wouldn’t be happening would they? Do you think that putting a cross next to one of two names of vermin makes a country ‘better’ in some way? How many times do you have to be kicked to smell the cesspool? How many immigrants? How many filthy ‘lords’ raining crap down on you? How many pedo ‘royals’? How many murdered ‘citizens’? How much abuse from ‘companies’, ‘politicians’, ‘councils’, ‘police’, ‘scientists’, ‘experts’, ‘celebrities’, foreign filth like gates of hell, and god knows how many other disgusting scum? China could save britain — by nuking it back to hell.

Ethel
Ethel
Reply to  sam
6 months ago

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Last edited 6 months ago by Ethel
trackback
6 months ago

[…] We posted about this previously. Here’s more. […]

NAV
NAV
6 months ago

They want war because it will detract all attention from the acts of treason that is unfolding with the voter fraud and the COVID bio weapon (Global terrorism) are administration has committed.

Dr_Goldstein
Dr_Goldstein
Reply to  NAV
6 months ago

This article by President Reagan’s Budget Director is of historical significance. Stockman makes clear America promised Soviet President Gorbachev “NOT ONE INCH” of NATO expansion to the East.

https://www.davidstockmanscontracorner.com/bill-clintons-epic-double-cross-how-not-an-inch-brought-nato-to-russias-border/

Rio
Rio
6 months ago

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Last edited 6 months ago by Rio
trackback
6 months ago

[…] Read More: Experts warned NATO expansion would lead to War; but nobody listened […]

rabbylee
rabbylee
6 months ago

f…putlin he is the agressor, showing off his nukes which can reach the whole world, paranoia little dictator