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Professor Norman Fenton: BBC Claims 8% of the UK Population Is Unvaccinated – It Is a Lie

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BBC’s Prof Hannah Fry claims 8% of the UK’s population is unvaccinated.  But this is a lie.  UK Health Security Agency’s (“UKHSA’s”) latest report shows that almost 30% of the population, of all ages, has not had even one dose of Covid injections, with 20% of the population over the age of 18 being vaccine free.

Why is this important? Because accurate estimates of the proportion of people who are unvaccinated is critical in determining both vaccine efficacy and vaccine safety. BBC’s lie clearly has a major impact in exaggerating claims about “vaccine” safety and efficacy.

“Within 2 hours of me posting this article and tweeting it, the BBC updated the article (see below) so it’s just as well I grabbed a screenshot of the original,” wrote Professor Norman Fenton.


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By Professor Norman Fenton

A new BBC documentary (hosted by mathematician Prof Hannah Fry) “seeks to understand why eight per cent of the population remain unvaccinated against Covid-19.”

But, as pointed out by Clare Craig, the latest UKHSA Covid-19 surveillance report (dated 7 July 2022) reports something very different: almost 30% of the population of England eligible for the vaccine has not had a single dose of the vaccine. Even if we ignore those aged under 18 it is almost 20% without a single dose and almost 40% who have not had 3 doses.

As we have shown in several of our own research articles, (see for example HERE and HERE) accurate estimates of the proportion of people who are unvaccinated is critical in determining both vaccine efficacy and vaccine safety. To see why suppose, for illustration, we know that in a given period there were one million people in a specific age group of whom one thousand died. Then the overall all-cause mortality rate is 1 in 1000. Suppose we know that 800 of those who died were vaccinated while 200 were not. Then:

  • If the true proportion of unvaccinated is 10% that means 200 out of 100,000 unvaccinated died (that’s a mortality rate of 1 in 500), while 800 out of 900,000 vaccinated died (that’s a mortality rate of 1 in 1,125). So, the mortality rate in the unvaccinated is much higher than that of the vaccinated.
  • If the true proportion of unvaccinated is 30%, that means 200 out of 300,000 unvaccinated died (that’s a mortality rate of 1 in 1,150), while 800 out of 700,000 vaccinated died (that’s a mortality rate of 1 in 875). So the mortality rate in the unvaccinated is much lower than that of the vaccinated.

Our reports showed clearly that many of the claims by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) about vaccine efficacy and safety are based on flawed data, which includes not just misclassifying some of those who die shortly after vaccinated as ‘unvaccinated’, but also underestimating the true proportion of unvaccinated.

The 8% unvaccinated claim by the BBC is clearly wrong and it clearly has a major impact in exaggerating any claims about vaccine safety and efficacy. Having previously co-presented a BBC documentary with Hannah Fry, I am well aware of the extent to which what presenters say is scripted by others. So I’d be interested to know if Hannah is comfortable presenting such obviously inaccurate statistics.

Update: within 2 hours of me posting this article and tweeting it the BBC updated the article. It now says Hannah Fry “seeks to understand why a portion of the population remain unvaccinated against Covid-19.” So, a small success of sorts, but how about an apology by the BBC for misleading the public again and also an explanation for how they came to get it so wrong. Who are the ‘experts’ they relied on for the data and are they the same ‘experts’ who will be scripting the programme with a biased narrative?

The above is the article BBC wants “to understand why 8% of the population remains unvaccinated against Covid” republished from Prof. Norman’s website HERE.

About the Author

Norman Fenton is a Professor of Risk Information Management at the Queen Mary University of London and a Director of Agena, a company specialising in critical systems risk management. He is a mathematician by training whose current focus is on critical decision-making and, in particular, on quantifying uncertainty using causal, probabilistic models that combine data and knowledge (Bayesian networks).  The approach can be summarised as “smart data” rather than “big data.”  Applications include law and forensics (he has been an expert witness in major criminal and civil cases), health, security, software reliability, transport safety and reliability, finance, and football prediction.

Featured image: Source for the image on the right, Exposing the Broadcasting Bias of the BBC

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M. Dowrick
M. Dowrick
4 months ago

Why is it so difficult to tell the truth when a lie will do bbc? Thank you Professor Norman Fenton for forcing the bbc to tell the truth. It is always refreshing.

Jayna Dinnyes
Jayna Dinnyes
4 months ago

GREAT NEWS! Hope that it is true for the U.S. population,too! When have they NOT lied to us about this whole COVID-19 nightmare?
I post freely on MeWe. STAY WELL NATURALLY!
ETERNAL LIFE BLESSINGS FOR YAHWEH’S SAINTS!

Bill Gates.jpg
boris
boris
Reply to  Jayna Dinnyes
4 months ago

its the same injections the same uhm virus all around the world, so it will be the same results all around the world! we saw this in israel last year.. they were the first to receive the poison

Ralph
Ralph
4 months ago

Just thought that I would make an admission in relation to covid. I am not ‘unvaccinated’. In fact I don’t think it’s possible to be unvaccinated. If it were, I’m sure a lot of people would queue for the procedure! Rather, I am neutral, as born, vaccine free. Let’s not fall into their trap of being labeled ‘unvaccinated’ … it’s too like ‘un’clean.

KiM1
KiM1
Reply to  Ralph
4 months ago

Pureblood!

boris
boris
Reply to  Ralph
4 months ago

yes because we would be discriminating our self!

Ralph
Ralph
4 months ago

This week, at least in Australia, our sermon was from Luke 10:25-37 the good samaritan. By analogy, perhaps the vaccine-free samaritans are called to aid the vaccine injured while the deep state Priest and the ultra-wealthy Levite pass by.

Tighe
Tighe
4 months ago

The false 8% figure is an important number in the war of covid propaganda because this is the figure of covid deaths amongst the unvaccinated that was published by the HSA in feb/March and with the help of the expose this went viral. This documentary is now hammering home the notion that those results were completely in line with the vaccine efficacy. This also templates rather nicely with the statement put out by Prof Chris Whitty who claimed that the low covid mortality rate amongst the unvaccinated was because the vaccine rollout had been so successful however he neglected to say that at that time the unvaccinated actually accounted for 34% of the population. The trouble is though when you try and have this conversation with most people they just can’t process that they are being lied to and the conversation goes nowhere no matter how intelligent or well educated they are.

Matthew
Matthew
4 months ago

Fish swim, birds fly, the BBC lies.

boris
boris
Reply to  Matthew
4 months ago

yes and fish need to swim in clean water otherwise they get sick in polluted water , like humans need pure blood to live in not injected Toxins from big Pharma

Ken Hughes
Ken Hughes
4 months ago

Well done, (and thank you for listening)

Nigel Watson
Nigel Watson
4 months ago

What the actual f@ck! Outright lies from the BBC. The thing that these tools don’t understand is that the truth ALWAYS becomes known in the long-run. And when that happens, those who told the lies become completely discredited. This is happening right now, two years after the ‘People’s Pandemic’ lie was told. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-yG02d44jcI&t=8s

John Sayer
John Sayer
4 months ago

What the UKHSA table also shows us is that, if ‘three shots’ is the definition of it, only 52% of the population of England is vaccinated.

Robert Pfeiffer
Robert Pfeiffer
4 months ago

This is great work but why didn’t Professor Fenton call out the other big lie…..that 197,000 had died from Covid? I suppose that was too much to ask.

Julie Jennings
Julie Jennings
Reply to  Robert Pfeiffer
4 months ago

That was also my question – that number is an outright lie, but will be believed by the people who believe they are “doing the right thing” when Whitty and Co are ramping up the fear factor again – it’s already started.

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4 months ago

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Paul Watson
Paul Watson
4 months ago

My question is why are you even watching the BBC?
Pure propaganda is

boris
boris
Reply to  Paul Watson
4 months ago

were not! but you need to catch their lies so we can hold them accountable

biggrump
biggrump
4 months ago

I’m shocked! The BBC has been caught lying about how many people have not taken the chance to have a deadly jab. If I didn’t know better, I would think that the BBC is biased and complicit in the attempt to force the Great Reset upon us.

Islander
Islander
Reply to  biggrump
4 months ago

Indeed; the BBC is “complicit” as you say: The BBC is otherwise (and correctly!) known as the BIASED BROADCASTING CORPORATION.

Frank S.
Frank S.
4 months ago

I’d be wary of any blather from the ‘authorities’ from now on. This may be a psy/op to get the Purebloods to identify themselves.

matt
matt
4 months ago

BBC, WaPo, NYT, Guardian, CNN etc. Its all the same crap from the same hats. Fifty percent straight up BS, fifty percent lying by omission, misrepresentation, decontextualization and misdirection.

Mark Deacon
Mark Deacon
4 months ago

The BBC lies to make the population conform it is a gas-lighting technique. They did exactly the same too promote BREMAIN with fake polls and numbers.

BBC should be closed down because it is solely a government and Klaus Schwab propaganda outlet.

IMHO it should be b@mbed into oblivion and certainly it should receive no taxpayers money.

Your taxes being used to gaslight you is the criminal act here.

Amadeo Mifsud
Amadeo Mifsud
4 months ago

More egg on face for the BBC.

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4 months ago

[…] A new BBC documentary (hosted by mathematician Prof Hannah Fry) “seeks to understand why eight per cent of the population remain unvaccinated against Covid-19.” Read More: Professor Norman Fenton: BBC Claims 8% of the UK Population Is Unvaccinated – It Is a L… […]

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4 months ago

[…] A new BBC documentary (hosted by mathematician Prof Hannah Fry) “seeks to understand why eight per cent of the population remain unvaccinated against Covid-19.” Read More: Professor Norman Fenton: BBC Claims 8% of the UK Population Is Unvaccinated – It Is a L… […]

Erica Dean
Erica Dean
4 months ago

 post freely on MeWe. STAY WELL NATURALLY!
ETERNAL LIFE BLESSINGS FOR YAHWEH’S SAINTS!

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4 months ago

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4 months ago

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Gene
Gene
4 months ago

BBC = B/S Broadcasting Cabal.
fact checkers at the B/S Broadcasting Club, who fact check health matters they don’t like, are not even qualified in health in any way at all. just sloppy corporate shill journos, who are garbage.

Djon
Djon
4 months ago

BBC have no limits to the depths they will sink too. They should be shut down immediately.

Tighe
Tighe
4 months ago

Is that the same Dr. Hannah Fry who wrote the Indisputable Existence of Santa Claus?

taipei
taipei
3 months ago

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19latestinsights/vaccines

its the WHITE british who are at 8% unvaxxed, while the rest is much higher (highest afro carribean)

the data comes from GP offices, where only poorest 3 white quitiles are registered (the 2 upper white quintiles explicitely skip the gp as they are privately insured..to skip the gp, lmao)

in the richer quintiles, the unvaccinated are much more numerous, i’d guess 25%, and unboosted at 60%.

so yes, it’s fake disinformation to “weight” the numbers with this 8%.