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Overpopulation myth: Propaganda is the reason for the sharp population declines facing most developed nations

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The Earth is expected to reach “peak population” before the end of this century, with most developed nations facing sharp population declines and ageing populations.

The reason for this decline is attributed to the fear of overpopulation, which was perpetuated by thinkers like Paul Ehrlich and led to the implementation of draconian family planning measures, including coercive sterilisations and abortions.

Many countries, including Japan, South Korea and Italy, are already experiencing population decline, and the world population is expected to peak between 2060 and 2080, followed by a decline, with significant consequences for the global economy and society.

The world is not overpopulated, AEIR explains.  If the entire world’s population moved to Texas, the population density would be a little more than New York, much less than Paris and dramatically less than Manila.

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Peak Population: Prepare for a Shrinking World

By American Institute for Economic Research (“AEIR”), 3 September 2025

Earth is going to hit “peak population” before the end of this century. Within 25 years, most of the world’s developed nations will be facing sharp population declines, with shrinking pools of young people working to support an ever-ageing population.

The reason is not famine, war or pestilence. We did this to ourselves by creating a set of draconian solutions to a problem that didn’t even exist. Fear has always been the best tool for social control, and the fear of humanity was deployed by generations of “thinkers” on the control-obsessed left. 

Most starkly, Paul Ehrlich made a remarkably frightening, and entirely false, prediction in 1968, in his book ‘Population Bomb’ (PDF):

PJ O’Rourke explained what was going on in his 1994 book ‘All the Trouble in the World’:

Family Planning and State Intervention

But there is more going on here than just gulling the gullible; the overpopulation hysteria of the 1960s and 1970s had world-changing consequences, effects that are just now becoming clear. It’s not fair (though it is fun) to blame Ehrlich; the truth is that the full-blown family-size freakout emerged from a pseudo-science that held growth was a threat to prosperity. Influential organisations were founded by very worried people. The Population Council and the International Planned Parenthood Federation were both created early on, in 1952. Developing nations began promoting aggressive family planning initiatives, often with substantial support, and sometimes with coercive pressures, from Western governments and international agencies.

The United Nations, the World Bank and bilateral donors, particularly the United States through USAID, increasingly integrated population control into foreign aid programmes. High fertility rates, particularly in Asia, Africa and Latin America, were viewed not merely as demographic trends but as Malthusian obstacles to modernisation, poverty alleviation and global security. China implemented its infamous “One-Child Policy” in 1979 with coercive measures, including forced sterilisations and abortions. India conducted mass sterilisation campaigns, particularly during the Emergency period (1975–1977), often using force or extreme social pressure, including withholding ration cards. A number of countries in East Asia saw aggressive state-controlled programmes, often funded by the World Bank, that sought to use questionable and coercive methods to reduce population growth quickly and permanently.

In more than a few cases, of course, the availability of contraception was actually a means of freeing women to make a choice to have fewer children. But combining this choice with state-sponsored coercion meant that even those who wanted more children, or would have wanted more children if the social pressures had been more sensibly used, were diverted from their private dream of several children.

That would be bad enough, if that were the end of the story. But it is only the beginning, because the sanctimony of scientism has created an actual population crisis, one that will affect the world for decades. Some nations may never recover, at least not in their present form. That crisis is the population bust.

Shrinking Planet: Which Nations Will Peak When?

I did some back-of-the-envelope calculations, using available data. What I was trying to calculate was the year of projected peak population for the 26 countries where the data are reliable enough to make an educated guess. That projection is based on Total Fertility Rates, and accounting for immigration, and mortality (life expectancy) trends. These estimates are, at best, approximations, because in some cases the data are not strictly comparable. But the data I do have are drawn from the United Nations World Population Prospects, OECD statistical reports, and national demographic data.

Expose News: Fertility rates and population peaks reveal the overpopulation myth: propaganda and sharp declines in developed nations exposed!

Peak population years are based on UN World Population Prospects (PDF) mid‑variant projections, supported by regional reports noting that most European and North American nations will peak in the late 2030s. Japan already peaked around 2008, South Korea around 2025, and Israel – with a total fertility rate (“TFR”) near 3.0 – may not peak this century.

As is noted in the final row of the table, the replacement rate for total fertility is about 2.10, given trends in life expectancy and assuming no net migration.

This raises a question: if all these countries have TFRs below replacement, what is actually happening to the world’s population? The answer is simple, though it has not been talked about much. The world population is going to peak and then start to decline. The total number of people on Earth will begin to fall sometime in the near future. The actual date of the peak is a matter of conjecture, since it depends on specific assumptions, but the estimates appear mostly to fall between 2060 (assuming current TFRs are constant) and 2080 (if TFRs increase slightly, and life span increases):

None of this needed to happen, folks. There is plenty of room on Earth, as you know if you have ever flown across Australia, Canada or, for that matter, the US at night – there is a lot of empty space.

Let’s do a thought experiment: there are 8.1 billion people on Earth now. Suppose all of them lived in the US state of Texas (for those Texans reading this, I know it seems like we are moving in that direction; the traffic in Dallas is remarkable!). Texas has an area of 676,600 square kilometres. So, supposing present trends continue and literally the whole world did move to Texas, what would that look like?

Well, 8.1 billion in 676,600 km² is about 12,000 people per square kilometre. That’s slightly more dense than the five boroughs of New York (about 11,300 per square kilometre), but much less than Paris (20,000) and dramatically less than Manila (nearly 44,000). Now, New York and Paris are pretty crowded, but people do live there, and even go there voluntarily to visit sometimes. Even if the entire current global population had to move into Texas, it’d be only marginally more annoying than Manhattan at rush hour. 

So, here’s the takeaway: there was no good reason for the population hysteria of past decades. As I tried to argue in an earlier piece, those predictions were ridiculous even at the time. And we need not be concerned about reviving the “population bomb,” because there is plenty of room, even if the human population does start to grow again, and even if we all had to move to Texas.

The effects of population decline are already starting to be felt in countries such as South Korea and Japan. As the average age climbs, the absolute number of people under 40 starts to decline. Unless something changes, the world population in general, and many specific countries, will face circumstances that, until now, have only ever been observed during catastrophic plagues or savage wars: blocks of empty houses, abandoned cities and hordes of elderly people who lack the ability to provide for themselves. The difference in the present case, however, is that we are not suffering from famine or war. As Antony Davis pointed out, the current collapse of world civilisation is a consequence of a striking failure to recognise that human beings are the most valuable resource we have.

 Some Notes on Sources

You might also want to read these previous articles published by The Exposé:

Expose News: Crowded city scene challenging the overpopulation myth and exploring propaganda's role in declining populations in developed nations.

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author avatar
Rhoda Wilson
While previously it was a hobby culminating in writing articles for Wikipedia (until things made a drastic and undeniable turn in 2020) and a few books for private consumption, since March 2020 I have become a full-time researcher and writer in reaction to the global takeover that came into full view with the introduction of covid-19. For most of my life, I have tried to raise awareness that a small group of people planned to take over the world for their own benefit. There was no way I was going to sit back quietly and simply let them do it once they made their final move.
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Cat
Cat
3 hours ago

Fear is a strong motivator, enough to self suicide..

Dave Owen
Dave Owen
2 hours ago

Hi Rhoda,
Nice article, a little off kilter.
I would say the drop in the worlds population is due to the C19 fluid.
Next problem is Chemtrailing the life out of us all.
Another reason, is believing in the Co2 nonsense and Fossil fuel con.
This has all been planned for years, we have not had a say in it.

plebney
plebney
2 hours ago

“Overpopulation” means insufficient food and shelter available for the number of people present. This has never happened and is not even close to happening now.
Right now Americans are feeding and sheltering 100,000,000 – that’s one hundred million! – dogs.

Rob D
Rob D
Reply to  plebney
16 minutes ago

And I hear a huge percentage of those keeping entire neighborhoods awake here because the owners of said dogs don’t believe in training them and heaven forbid you complain about Fluffy disturbing the peace day and night. As I mentioned to one dog “owner” who won’t even bring their dog indoors when it barks nonstop, “don’t worry, it will stop barking when it becomes food in the times that may be coming.”